July 29, 2012

Live Women's Qualification - Subdivision 4

This subdivision comes up too soon! I haven't yet fully processed the idea that Aly Raisman is in AA finals or why I am inexplicably thrilled about it. I'm no huge Aly fan, nor do I harbor any ill will towards Jordyn. It's just the joy of the unexpected. I'm going to need 18 montages about this on NBC. Jordyn's agent needs to be making sure she gets the big "get back on the horse" narrative during team finals so that she can maintain some press from this after we forget that she didn't make AA finals.

Now it's up to Mustafina and Komova to make me forget all about Team USA. Don't be surprised if multiple Russians outscore Raisman. Will Komova stay on all the apparatuses? After Wieber was knocked out, we need Mustafina and Grishina to knock out Komova. (I apologize for saying that.)

What are we going to see from China? Greatness or great mess, neither would be a surprise.

Notes coming soon as we get underway.



Gymnasts emerging already. I would have loved to be around the Russian team when they heard that Wieber was out of AA. It would be further proof that Ksenia Afanasyeva is my face soul mate.

Rotation 1 - Russia on floor, China on beam:

Mustafina beam - very nice DbA, sloppy legs in the 2.5 + full but landed very well. Ha, she almost went OOB on a Y spin. Double tuck is too easy for her. Crazy legs on the triple full. Very nice routine. Let's see how this compares to the Americans. 14.433, same as Tweddle received.

Colombia's. Leotard. Deng opens with a big 15.166 on beam.

It's important that we've seen Bounty's "Got a spill to share?" commercial before China goes on beam. Sui is crazy clean so far in her routine.This is similar to some of her 2011 Worlds routines, almost no deductions. The Bounty commercial did not jinx her, which is vital to note. 15.400, highest score so far.

Seitz bars - almost Wieber's her shaposh to stalkder half - insane legs in the def but hits it. She'll get knocked for execution but it's a dynamic routine. 15.166. Too high given all her form breaks, but I'll allow it.

We didn't get to see Komova on floor but she receives just a 13.900. How very Gabby Douglas of her.

Grishina hits the double double but appears to step out afterward and nearly lands out on her triple full as well but maybe stays in, clean double tuck, short on the double pike. 14.066.

Huang gets a 13.866 on beam, which is expected.

Yao on beam, this will be telling as to how well she has recovered. Are we missing Afan on floor, though? Not pleased. Yao is totally off on the standing full. They'll have to count Huang's score now. 
Another major break. She is not ready. Hits the rest of the routine. 12.833. China scores a point lower than the US on beam, which was their only hope. Who goes in TF now? Afanasyeva's floor that we didn't get to see gets a 14.833. They are behind the US on floor and will drop Komova's score.

Germany scores the same on bars and Russia on floor. So there's that.

Rotation 2 - Russia on vault, China on floor:
I'm fascinated to see the Amanar situation for Russia. If they hit two of them, they will have a good shot to pass the US on bars.

My stream has decided to lose right itself before Russia's vault. Thanks. Let's get this fixed.

It appears I missed on Grishina on vault. On replay it looks very low with a large step to the side. 14.333. They will want to drop that.

Komova's Amanar now. Here we go. Beautiful - a little leg form and a little locked legs. Not Maroney level in the air, but it should score right where Wieber and Douglas scored. 15.633.

Mustafina scores 15.133 for a nice DTY. That's not so much worse than an Amanar.

Paseka - goes for Amanar and lands it pretty well with a step to the side and a little sloppy legs. This is major scoring for Russia. 15.533. They keep within sight of the US. Clean second vault, but I think she was going for layout and I would credit piked.

We see that Sui gets a 14.233 on floor. No finals for her. Huang now. Low on her 2.5 + full. Under on her triple full, verging on credit 2.5, but I think the judges will be nice. There are significant deductions in all of these passes, but she's doing OK. Low double pike dismount. The judges could really hit her if they wanted to. 13.575. They'll be counting Deng's 13.833.

Yao - I'm concerned for her. Minor bounce out of triple full, Just a double full second pass. Double Y is nice. Fall on the third pass. She is nowhere near ready to be back. Frankly, why is she on the team? China will count two scores under 14.

Russia scores 46.299 on vault, 1.300 lower than the US, which they will need to make up on bars, so let's look for at least 46.300-46.400, which is doable for them. China scores just a 41.641 on floor. Bars may be the only thing that keeps them from being Italy at this point.


Rotation 3 - Russia to bars, China to vault:
I like that Shannon and Other Guy are referring to Russia as "the Russian Federation." Let's do that always. It's more official that way, anyway.

He is vaulting. This is where we are. Her Yurchenko full is very Oregon State leadoff. 13.733. At least Sui didn't have to go.

Deng on vault - this could go any which way - pretty good. She's worked on this. No distance and a step, but everyone will take it. 14.833.

We didn't see Grishina on bars, but she scored less than Aly Raisman.

Mustafina bars - Absolutely excellent. She is having a great day, by the way. A few issues with legs, but little else. She'll be in finals easily. 15.700.

Huang - DTY - very nice, stuck landing. That will be a good score and desperately necessary.

Komova - Very similar to Mustafina in terms of quality and the minor deductions. Who will score higher? 15.833. Komova wins that little battle, but the Grishina score will be an issue for them catching the US. Paseka touches. Well done.

Yao tries a DTY on vault and plants it to her face. May I once again ask WHY she is doing these routines? What are they going to do for TF? They should still be able to pass GBR, but they cannot imagine being in top 3 at this point.

Russia needs 46.700 on beam to pass the US. I don't think they can do that.

In the AA, Komova is .1 ahead of Mustafina. Komova needs a 15.033 on beam to pass Raisman. Mustafina needs a 15.133. It's doable.

Seitz saves Germany on floor after some 13s and a very poor beam rotation. She struggled to stay in bounds and certainly incurred more than a tenth in checks so it was not worth it.

Rotation 4 - Russia to beam, China to bars:

Mustafina beam - double turn, just minor balance. Another wobble. She's having to check almost all of these acro skills. .1-.3 on every one, plus lost connections. Great amazing double tuck (take notes Kyla), but that was the kind of wobbleburger I expect from Komova. She will not pass Raisman with that. 14.700. Just a few tenths behind the Americans. Don't think for a second that she can't win the AA.

Huang bars - she hits it. China needed her today. Some minor breaks and one very late pirouette at the end, so the judges will get her for that, but it's a good score. 15.266.

He bars - so proficient on the pirouettes but she made that jaeger half just BARELY. A muscled kip, but this is better than she's been for a fair while. 15.966 below Tweddle. Expect the same in finals.

14.900 for Grishina on beam. Looks like no finals for her.

Chusovitina's rudi - exact copy of what she's been doing for 1500 years. Are you allowed to criticize her legs or has she surpassed deductions?

Komova beam - here we go - very clean early on, she manages the double turn and the arabian very well. They will be itching to give this well over a 15. Oooh, major wobble on punch front, and another maor one on the side somi. That could be enough to push her down, it will be VERY close. We'll see. Great Patterson dismount. 15.266. yes, she moves into first in the AA.

China gets huge bars scores from Yao, He, and Huang to move ahead of GBR quite easily, but they are not in contention with USA or Russia. They would have been with a healthy Yao, but its not like she's going to get there before TF. She looked months away today.

Current standings with Romania and Japan still to come:
Team:
1. USA - 181.863
2. Russia - 180.429
3. China - 176.637
4. Great Britain - 170.656
5. Italy - 168.397
6. Canada - 167.696
7. Germany - 167.331
8. Australia - 166.721
9. France - 164.796
10. Brazil - 161.295

Huge accomplishment for Canada to make team finals, even without Peng Peng Lee.

All-Around:
1. Komova - 60.632
2. Raisman - 60.391
3. Douglas - 60.265
Wieber - 60.032
4. Mustafina - 59.966
5. Deng - 57.998
6. Ferrari - 57.932
7. Huang - 57.707
Grishina - 57.332
8. Lopez - 56.665
9. Seitz - 56.466
10. Tunney - 56.391

Vault:
1. Maroney - 15.800
2. Paseka - 15.049
3. Chusovitina - 14.808
4. Pena Abreu - 14.699
5. Berger - 14.483
6. Rogers - 14.483
7. Black - 14.366
8. Steingruber - 13.924


Bars:
1. Tweddle - 16.133
2. He - 15.966
3. Komova - 15.833
4. Yao - 15.766
5. Mustafina - 15.700
6. Douglas - 15.333
Huang - 15.266
7. Seitz - 15.166
8. Ross - 14.866

Beam:
1. Sui - 15.400
2. Komova - 15.266
3. Douglas - 15.266
4. Deng - 15.166
5. Raisman - 15.100
Ross - 15.075
6. Afanasyeva - 15.066
Grishina - 14.900
Mustafina - 14.700
Wieber - 14.700
7. Ferrari - 14.433
8. Ferlito - 14.425


Floor:
1. Raisman - 15.325
2. Ferrari - 14.900
3. Afanasyeva - 14.833
4. Mitchell - 14.833
5. Wieber - 14.666
6. Mustafina - 14.433
7. Tweddle - 14.433
8. Pihan-Kulesza - 14.333

We get a break before the final subdivision! Yay!

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