March 17, 2014

Week 10 Rankings and Final RQS Scenarios

The regular season is done and spent and wafting behind us in a cloud of 9.925-laden smoke. We have now entered championships season. Because we've had so many 10s this year (22 by my count so far, the most since the 10 explosions in the early 2000s when there were 11,000 each year), this has become a weekly rundown of the most recent 10s as well as the rankings, and this week we had five more entrants. Kytra on floor, obviously, but also some newbies: Scaman on vault, Clark and Francis on beam, and Damianova on floor. I'll give you negative three guesses as to which was my favorite.



Now, onto the rankings. With just the conference championships remaining to change the RQS landscape before we head into Regionals, we now have a fairly reliably picture of how things will play out. First, note that the rankings below are adjusted from those currently seen on troester to reflect the most recent scores. Troester has Minnesota in 16th, but taking into account their results from the Big Ten quad meet, they are in 14th, so that's where I have them.

For each team below, in addition to the RQS breakdown, I have included the team's maximum possible RQS as a reference point to see what is possible for each team, along with a few notes about the scores they would need to move up or retain the current position. For the teams currently outside the top 36 (and therefore out of Regionals), I have included the score they would need to have any chance to move into that top 36 group. Because we can expect many teams to increase their RQSs over the weekend, these teams will likely have to score higher than the minimum number included here in order to stand a chance of advancing.  

Also for reference, the current Regionals placements if today's rankings hold (and adjusting for hosts), would be as follows:

Regional 1: [1] Florida, [12] Auburn, [14] Minnesota (host - 7ET/4PT)
Regional 2: [2] LSU (host - 5ET/2PT), [11] Oregon State, [13] Illinois
Regional 3: [3] Oklahoma, [10] Stanford, [15] Penn State (host - 4ET/1PT)
Regional 4: [4] Alabama, [9] Nebraska, [16] Arkansas (host - 5ET/2PT)
Regional 5: [5] Utah, [8] Michigan, [17] Boise State (Washington host - 7ET/4PT)
Regional 6: [6] Georgia (host - 4ET/1PT), [7] UCLA, [18] Central Michigan

Week 10 Rankings
1. Florida – 197.790
Week 10: 198.200
Week 10 leaders: AA - Sloan 39.825; VT - Sloan, Hunter 9.950; UB - Sloan 9.975; BB - Sloan 9.950; FX - Hunter 10.000

RQS:
Road Score 1: 198.200
Road Score 2: 197.400
Road Score 3: 197.175
Road/Home Score 1: 198.325
Road/Home Score 2: 198.125
Road/Home Score 3: 198.050

Maximum RQS: 198.020

It has been a road score challenge for Florida for much of the year, but it just took one big number to erase all of that and suddenly make them the top-scoring road team on the season with a 198.200. Florida is now in the clear driver's seat when it comes to most things, including the season-ending #1 ranking. Their four scores in the 198s are basically unassailable at this point, and with a 197.175 still hanging around, the Gators will need just a 197.300 at SECs to sew up #1. Given the way things have been going, they would probably have to count a mistake even to get down as low as 197.300. The Gators will just miss out on a chance to pass UCLA's record RQS of 198.055, but they can eclipse last year's RQS total of 197.840 by scoring a 197.425 at SECs, and can break the 198 RQS barrier with a 198.225 at SECs.

2. LSU – 197.720
Week 10: 197.800
Week 10 leaders: AA - Courville 39.625; VT - Courville, Dickson 9.925; UB - Courville 9.950; BB - Gnat 9.950; FX - Hall 9.925

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.875
Road Score 2: 197.650
Road Score 3: 197.625
Road/Home Score 1: 198.050
Road/Home Score 2: 197.800
Road/Home Score 3: 197.650

Maximum RQS: 197.805

Florida had accrued enough huge home scores that it was going to take just one big road number for the Gators to jump to #1, and that's just what happened, even though LSU put up a very strong 197.800 over the weekend with a consistent stretch of 49.4+ rotations. SECs is going to get fascinating because we could see three teams break 198 in that second session, and it wouldn't even be that surprising. Another meet featuring strong 49.4 rotations for a high 197 would be a respectable outcome, but it's quite possible to do just that finish 3rd. It's going to take rotations of 9.9s, 49.5s and 49.6s, to win SECs the way things have been going so far this year. As mentioned, Florida basically has a stranglehold on #1 right now. LSU has put up consistently great scores all year, but the scores are all fairly close together, which means there's not too much room for them to move up in RQS, even with a season high at SECs. They'll need a 197.975 to have a shot at passing Florida if the Gators have a poor meet, but things get more interesting in the LSU/Oklahoma race.

3. Oklahoma – 197.660
Week 10: 197.425
Week 10 leaders: AA - None; VT - Scaman 10.000; UB - Kmieciak 9.850; BB - Spears 9.950; FX - Scaman 9.950

RQS:
Road Score 1: 198.175
Road Score 2: 198.150
Road Score 3: 197.575
Road/Home Score 1: 197.700
Road/Home Score 2: 197.450
Road/Home Score 3: 197.425

Maximum RQS: 197.810

We're living in a year where mid 197s are just average scores for the very top teams, and a recent flood of mid-197s has seen Oklahoma fall from first to third. These mid 197s are usually the result of a lower bars score, which I would not have called going into the year, or even early in the season when the Sooners looked exceptional on bars against Arizona. There's just a lot of 9.850ing going around. (Even so, they're still third in the nation on the event, but there have been way too many 49.1s lately.) Like LSU, Oklahoma has a slim, slim chance to pass Florida, but they would need a 198.100 at Big 12s along with some help to do it. But, Oklahoma does have a realistic shot at passing LSU this weekend. If both teams manage to score well and increase their RQSs, Oklahoma can move ahead of LSU by outscoring them by .125. The race between these two teams will be something to watch, especially for those 10-15 ranked schools.

4. Alabama – 197.405
Week 10: 197.925
Week 10 leaders: AA - Jacob 39.625; VT - Milliner 9.950; UB - Sims 9.900; BB - Clark 10.000; FX - Milliner 9.950

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.500
Road Score 2: 197.100
Road Score 3: 196.825
Road/Home Score 1: 198.250
Road/Home Score 2: 197.925
Road/Home Score 3: 197.675

Maximum RQS: 197.690

For most of the season, Florida, LSU, and Oklahoma have maintained an edge over the rest of the teams, but that discussion must be expanded to include four favorites because Alabama is scoring right with these other teams, as we would always expect from them coming to the postseason. I still have some questions, most of them regarding realistic bars scores, but at this point, Alabama appears at least in the same vicinity as the current top 3. This #4 ranking looks fairly comfortable for Alabama going into SECs, with some threat from Utah below. Alabama would need a 197.775 to guarantee staying ahead of Utah, which is certainly attainable given what we have seen the past couple weeks, but it probably won't take quite that much. Utah would have to get a 198 at Pac-12s for that to be a realistic scenario. Also in the less realistic scenario department, Alabama could move ahead of Oklahoma with a 198.125 as long as Oklahoma doesn't increase RQS at all.


5. Utah – 197.365
Week 10: 198.025
Week 10 leaders: AA - Wilson 39.400; VT - Wilson, Delaney, Dabritz 9.950; UB - Dabritz 9.925; BB - Delaney, Wilson 9.925; FX - Damianova 10.000

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.350
Road Score 2: 197.200
Road Score 3: 196.875
Road/Home Score 1: 198.025
Road/Home Score 2: 197.825
Road/Home Score 3: 197.575

Maximum RQS: 197.595

Utah hit beam over the weekend, and the rest is just sort of a blur because this is clearly a fantasy world. Oh, Utah, you used up your beam hit already. Now what are you going to do once the postseason starts? The Utes are in a very comfortable position with RQS, essentially guaranteed of staying ahead of Georgia and with a chance to move ahead of Alabama should circumstances play out in their favor. To move ahead of Alabama, they would need at least a 197.075, plus some help from the Tide not moving up at all. Although, given the current Regionals situation, there's not much advantage (and perhaps a disadvantage) to being the 4th seed versus being the 5th seed. Pac-12s will not so much be about the score for Utah as it will be about trying to hit beam two meets in a row.

6. Georgia – 197.200
Week 10: 197.600
Week 10 leaders: AA - Rogers 39.600; VT - Jay 9.950; UB - Rogers 9.900; BB - Cheek 9.925; FX - Jay 9.950

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.600
Road Score 2: 196.875
Road Score 3: 196.825
Road/Home Score 1: 197.650
Road/Home Score 2: 197.400
Road/Home Score 3: 197.300

Maximum RQS: 197.365

Georgia may have lost to Utah on Saturday, but they'll take that road 197.600 any day. They didn't perform nearly as well as we would expect on bars in the first rotation, particularly in the landings, which basically took them out of the meet from the beginning, but the other three events were solidly encouraging. It was a much more consistent floor rotation than I've seen from this team all year. The 197.600 likely assures Georgia of remaining in this #6 spot. They can potentially tie Utah, but that would require a season-high score at SECs and Utah scoring 196.875 or lower at Pac-12s. It could happen, but it's not the most likely scenario and would only result in a tie if it did happen (though both teams do currently have a similar 7th-best score, which could make a tiebreaker interesting).

7. UCLA – 197.005
Week 10: 197.050
Week 10 leaders: AA - Peszek 39.700; VT - Peszek 9.950; UB - Peszek 9.975; BB - Francis 10.000; FX - Courtney 9.950

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.500
Road Score 2: 197.475
Road Score 3: 196.675
Road/Home Score 1: 197.050
Road/Home Score 2: 196.925
Road/Home Score 3: 196.900

Maximum RQS: 197.170

Getting a 10 and counting a fall in the same beam rotation. That's our UCLA. It has been the season of the ups and downs, and that beam rotation encapsulated it perfectly–the joy of Danusia's 10 followed immediately by the Sawa fall, brought home even more by the fact that all we could see of Val on the feed was her frustrated right hand gesticulating. The Bruins may be able to get by through enduring the first couple routines and then letting Peszek, Francis, and Courtney save the day at the back of the lineups in the regular season, but they can't afford days like Sunday in the postseason, with beam falls and two missed landings on vault. Nonetheless, the 197 was enough to clinch an important top-8 ranking. UCLA can't move up any higher than 7th, though, and may be in a close fight with Michigan to see which team gets that spot since the maximum RQS for both teams is very close. The Bruins would need a 197.475 to assure themselves of 7th.

8. Michigan – 196.900
Week 10: 196.025
Week 10 leaders: AA - Sampson 39.600; VT - Sheppard 9.950; UB - Sampson 9.950; BB - Artz, Sampson 9.900; FX - Sampson 9.925

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.800
Road Score 2: 196.650
Road Score 3: 196.525
Road/Home Score 1: 197.825

Road/Home Score 2: 197.325
Road/Home Score 3: 197.200

Maximum RQS: 197.160

Everyone has a beamtastrophe from time to time, and while Michigan was not alone in doing so over the weekend, it was not the best time for the beam monster to creep up of them. What had been a comfortable two-tenth lead over Nebraska has become a much less comfortable .070 lead going into the Big Tens confrontation between the two teams, who do still look like the two clear favorites for the conference title. The positive news for Michigan is that they still have a very manageable 196.525 to get rid of. They'll be guaranteed to fend off Nebraska as long as they score a 196.800 and will have a chance to challenge UCLA with a 197.050 depending on what the Bruins do.

9. Nebraska – 196.830
Week 10: 197.050
Week 10 leaders: AA - Wong 39.625; VT - Everyone 9.875; UB - Wong 9.925; BB - DeZiel 9.900; FX - Wong 9.950

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.225
Road Score 2: 197.050
Road Score 3: 196.650
Road/Home Score 1: 196.975
Road/Home Score 2: 196.850
Road/Home Score 3: 196.625

Maximum RQS: 196.950

It appears that Nebraska did just enough at the quad meet over the weekend to secure the #9 position unless they just get nipped by a series of Stanford-friendly events. None of the individual rotation scores were particularly large, but they did hit every event, didn't have to count anything low, and had enough 9.875s to break 197 for the first time since early February. It's possible that the Huskers could move ahead of Michigan depending on their results at Big Tens (and with the potential advantage over Michigan of competing in the later session). It's just one ranking spot either way, but it could be an important spot if the current Regionals and hosting situation holds true. Nebraska needs at least a 197.000 to pass Michigan if Michigan does not increase.
  
10. Stanford – 196.640
No meet

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.275
Road Score 2: 196.825
Road Score 3: 196.300
Road/Home Score 1: 197.000
Road/Home Score 2: 196.750
Road/Home Score 3: 196.325

Maximum RQS: 196.835

Stanford was not in action last weekend, and what was a cushy position in the top 10 for most of the season has now become a bit more questionable. They have just a very slim chance of moving ahead of Nebraska with a season high and a low score from the Huskers, but they will mostly be concerned with fending off the assaults from Oregon State, Auburn, and Illinois, all of whom could potentially move ahead. It's hard to say which of the spots in this 9-16 section will end up being most advantageous, but if I'm a team like Stanford, I would probably prefer to end up in LSU's Regional at this point to avoid a meeting with a third-seeded host. 

11. Oregon State – 196.610
Week 10: 196.250
Week 10 leaders: AA - Gardiner 39.300; VT - Aufiero 9.900; UB - Aufiero, McMillain 9.875; BB - Gardiner 9.900; FX - Ponto 9.875

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.050
Road Score 2: 196.450
Road Score 3: 196.250
Road/Home Score 1: 197.100
Road/Home Score 2: 196.675
Road/Home Score 3: 196.625 

Maximum RQS: 196.780


The Beavers are very close to Stanford in the rankings now, and with a similar score ready to be dropped, Oregon State can move ahead of Stanford as long as they can separate themselves from that low 196.250 by a couple tenths and outscore the Cardinal by .125.
 
12. Auburn – 196.560
Week 10: 196.175
Week 10 leaders: AA - Atkinson 39.525; VT - Demers 9.900; UB - Walker 9.875; BB - Atkinson 9.950; FX - Atkinson, Webster 9.875

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.850
Road Score 2: 196.550
Road Score 3: 196.175
Road/Home Score 1: 197.100
Road/Home Score 2: 197.000
Road/Home Score 3: 196.225

Maximum RQS: 196.745

Auburn could move as high as 10th but will be more concerned with fending off the challenges from below with a number of teams at least potentially capable of passing and Illinois with the same maximum RQS should both teams record season highs.

13. Illinois – 196.495
Week 10: 196.875
Week 10 leaders: AA - O'Connor 39.100; VT - See, Buchanan 9.900; UB - Kato 9.900; BB - Horth 9.875; FX - See 9.925

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.875
Road Score 2: 196.500
Road Score 3: 195.850
Road/Home Score 1: 197.100
Road/Home Score 2: 196.775
Road/Home Score 3: 196.475

Maximum RQS: 196.745

Illinois could also move up as high as 10th and will need at least a 196.175 at Big Tens to have a chance to move ahead of Auburn and become a second seed should Auburn not manage a good score at SECs. 

14. Minnesota – 196.415
Week 10: 196.700
Week 10 leaders: AA - Mable 39.600; VT - Mable 9.900; UB - Mable 9.875; BB - Mable 9.925; FX - Mable 9.900

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.700
Road Score 2: 196.525
Road Score 3: 196.350
Road/Home Score 1: 197.250
Road/Home Score 2: 196.275
Road/Home Score 3: 196.225

Maximum RQS: 196.620

Minnesota can move up as high as 11th but would need to get a season-high road score of 196.950 to become a second seed, so remaining a third seed is much more likely. 


15. Penn State – 196.410
Week 10: 196.475
Week 10 leaders: AA - Stauder, Welsh 39.275; VT - Sibson, Welsh 9.825; UB - Stauder 9.900; BB - Stauder 9.900; FX - Musgrove, Welsh 9.850

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.200
Road Score 2: 196.475
Road Score 3: 196.150
Road/Home Score 1: 196.675
Road/Home Score 2: 196.600
Road/Home Score 3: 196.150

Maximum RQS: 196.620

Like Auburn and Illinois, Penn State and Minnesota also have the same maximum RQS so will be in a close fight this weekend to see which team hosts which top team and questionable second seed. Penn State would need a 196.900 to have any chance to be a second seed.  

16. Arkansas – 196.355
Week 10: 196.650
Week 10 leaders: AA - Grable 39.625; VT - Grable 9.925; UB - Salmon, Wellick 9.825; BB - Grable 9.925; FX - Grable 9.975

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.700
Road Score 2: 196.100
Road Score 3: 196.050
Road/Home Score 1: 197.100
Road/Home Score 2: 196.650
Road/Home Score 3: 196.275 

Maximum RQS: 196.565

Arkansas has a very, very slim chance to move up as high as #12, but they are another team primarily looking at being a dangerous third seed, a status they have already clinched.

17. Boise State – 196.200
Week 10: 195.925
Week 10 leaders: AA - Morris 39.350; VT - Black 9.875; UB - Morris 9.875; BB - Morris 9.800; FX - Perkins 9.875

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.325
Road Score 2: 196.000
Road Score 3: 195.925
Road/Home Score 1: 196.975
Road/Home Score 2: 196.550
Road/Home Score 3: 196.200

Maximum RQS: 196.410
Boise State could move into a tie for #15 but would need a 196.700 to have a chance to move up any spots. They would need a 196.450 to guarantee themselves a seeded spot at a Regional. 

18. Central Michigan – 196.165
Week 10: 196.175
Week 10 leaders: AA - None; VT - Moraw, K Petzold 9.850; UB - Bolender, Fagan 9.850; BB - Moraw 9.875; FX - Bolender, Moraw 9.900

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.500
Road Score 2: 196.425
Road Score 3: 195.925
Road/Home Score 1: 196.600
Road/Home Score 2: 196.175
Road/Home Score 3: 195.800

Maximum RQS: 196.325
Central Michigan is the bubble team right now when it comes to being seeded and can guarantee that third-seed status with a 196.525 at MACs. 

19. California – 196.095

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.725
Road Score 2: 196.075
Road Score 3: 196.025
Road/Home Score 1: 196.425
Road/Home Score 2: 196.275
Road/Home Score 3: 195.675

Maximum RQS: 196.305

Cal is just on the outside at the moment, but still has a 195.675 to drop with a home championships and cushy evening session spot coming up this weekend, so it seems doable. They would have to score at least a 196.025 to have a chance at one of the seeded Regionals spots.

20. Denver – 196.020

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.550
Road Score 2: 195.875
Road Score 3: 195.825
Road/Home Score 1: 196.725
Road/Home Score 2: 196.050
Road/Home Score 3: 195.800

Maximum RQS: 196.205
Denver could reach as high as 17th, but it's going to be a bit tougher for them to become a third seed. They would need at least a 196.525 this weekend to even think about it. 

21. Arizona – 195.950

NOTE: Arizona's ranking reflects the RQS before Monday's meet, since Monday meets are not traditionally included in the rankings, but tonight's 195.775 is included in the RQS calculations below.

RQS - Current 196.035 (ranking would be #20):
Road Score 1: 195.850
Road Score 2: 195.775
Road Score 3: 195.625
Road/Home Score 1: 196.925
Road/Home Score 2: 196.500
Road/Home Score 3: 196.425

Maximum RQS: 196.295

Arizona also has a chance to move up into the seeded positions if they can leapfrog several likewise contending teams right above. They would need a 196.275 at Pac 12s to be in it with a chance.

22. Arizona State – 195.745

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.900
Road Score 2: 195.575
Road Score 3: 194.950
Road/Home Score 1: 196.200
Road/Home Score 2: 196.175
Road/Home Score 3: 196.125

Maximum RQS: 195.995

23. New Hampshire – 195.720

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.925
Road Score 2: 195.600 
Road Score 3: 195.400
Road/Home Score 1: 196.675
Road/Home Score 2: 196.100
Road/Home Score 3: 195.575

Maximum RQS: 195.940

24. Ohio State – 195.680

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.925
Road Score 2: 195.675
Road Score 3: 195.275
Road/Home Score 1: 196.600
Road/Home Score 2: 195.900
Road/Home Score 3: 195.625

Maximum RQS: 195.945

25. BYU – 195.675

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.025
Road Score 2: 195.525
Road Score 3: 195.325
Road/Home Score 1: 196.425
Road/Home Score 2: 196.125
Road/Home Score 3: 195.375

Maximum RQS: 195.885

26. Kent State – 195.655

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.975
Road Score 2: 195.700
Road Score 3: 195.525
Road/Home Score 1: 196.225
Road/Home Score 2: 195.675
Road/Home Score 3: 195.400

Maximum RQS: 195.820


27. NC State – 195.615

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.525
Road Score 2: 195.450
Road Score 3: 195.400
Road/Home Score 1: 196.100
Road/Home Score 2: 196.050
Road/Home Score 3: 195.650

Maximum RQS: 195.755


28. Kentucky – 195.585

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.975
Road Score 2: 195.200
Road Score 3: 195.150
Road/Home Score 1: 196.275
Road/Home Score 2: 196.150
Road/Home Score 3: 195.450

Maximum RQS: 195.810

29. Southern Utah – 195.580

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.925
Road Score 2: 195.700
Road Score 3: 195.550
Road/Home Score 1: 195.600
Road/Home Score 2: 195.550
Road/Home Score 3: 195.500

Maximum RQS: 195.665

30. San Jose State – 195.510

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.725
Road Score 2: 195.550
Road Score 3: 195.400
Road/Home Score 1: 195.800
Road/Home Score 2: 195.775
Road/Home Score 3: 195.100

Maximum RQS: 195.650

31. UC Davis – 195.260

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.175
Road Score 2: 194.950
Road Score 3: 194.800
Road/Home Score 1: 196.425
Road/Home Score 2: 195.875
Road/Home Score 3: 195.500

Maximum RQS: 195.445

32. Utah State – 195.250

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.000
Road Score 2: 195.225
Road Score 3: 194.400
Road/Home Score 1: 196.000
Road/Home Score 2: 195.525
Road/Home Score 3: 195.100

Maximum RQS: 195.570

33. Rutgers – 195.200

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.825
Road Score 2: 195.275
Road Score 3: 195.250
Road/Home Score 1: 196.225
Road/Home Score 2: 195.075
Road/Home Score 3: 194.575

Maximum RQS: 195.530 

These top 33 teams have already clinched their spots at Regionals.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
34. Washington – 195.100

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.175
Road Score 2: 195.000
Road Score 3: 194.300
Road/Home Score 1: 196.200
Road/Home Score 2: 195.650
Road/Home Score 3: 195.375

Maximum RQS: 195.480
Washington is on the cusp of guaranteeing a spot at its home Regional and needs just a 194.600 at Pac-12s to make it a certainty.

35. Maryland – 195.010

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.425
Road Score 2: 194.775
Road Score 3: 194.700
Road/Home Score 1: 195.525
Road/Home Score 2: 195.225
Road/Home Score 3: 194.925

Maximum RQS: 195.175
Maryland can guarantee a spot at Regionals with a 195.475 at EAGLs.

36. West Virginia – 195.000

RQS:
Road Score 1: 194.975
Road Score 2: 194.925
Road Score 3: 194.175
Road/Home Score 1: 196.175
Road/Home Score 2: 195.500
Road/Home Score 3: 195.425

Maximum RQS: 195.150
West Virginia is currently ranked to advance but is also at a bit of a disadvantage by hosting Big 12s because there is no chance to get rid of that low away score. They'll need to score better than the mid 195s to feel comfortable about fending off the Iowas. Usually, Big 12s is a bit of a snooze since Oklahoma will cruise to victory, but the West Virginia/Iowa State Regionals battle will be one to watch. Iowa State trails for now but has the slightly higher maximum RQS and could make the leap with a big score. 

37. Iowa 194.935

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.350
Road Score 2: 195.050
Road Score 3: 194.750
Road/Home Score 1: 195.125
Road/Home Score 2: 195.075
Road/Home Score 3: 194.675

Maximum RQS: 195.070
Must score at least 195.000 at Big Tens to have a chance to advance. 

T38. Michigan State 194.745

RQS:
Road Score 1: 194.900
Road Score 2: 194.775
Road Score 3: 194.350
Road/Home Score 1: 196.200
Road/Home Score 2: 195.550
Road/Home Score 3: 194.150

Maximum RQS: 195.155
Must score at least 195.425 at Big 10s to have a chance to advance.

T38. Missouri 194.745

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.125
Road Score 2: 194.825
Road Score 3: 194.600
Road/Home Score 1: 195.725
Road/Home Score 2: 194.650
Road/Home Score 3: 194.525

Maximum RQS: 194.985
Cannot advance to Regionals.

T40. Iowa State – 194.700

RQS:
Road Score 1: 194.850
Road Score 2: 194.250
Road Score 3: 193.725
Road/Home Score 1: 196.025
Road/Home Score 2: 195.925
Road/Home Score 3: 194.750

Maximum RQS: 195.160
Must score at least a 195.225 at Big 12s to have a chance to advance.

T40. Pittsburgh – 194.700

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.075
Road Score 2: 194.900
Road Score 3: 194.125
Road/Home Score 1: 196.125
Road/Home Score 2: 195.050
Road/Home Score 3: 194.350

Maximum RQS: 195.100
Must score at least a 195.625 at EAGLs to have a chance to advance.

42. Bowling Green – 194.695

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.925
Road Score 2: 194.325
Road Score 3: 194.175
Road/Home Score 1: 195.550
Road/Home Score 2: 194.825
Road/Home Score 3: 194.600

Maximum RQS: 195.045
Must score at least a 195.700 at MACs to have a chance to advance.


All remaining teams have been mathematically eliminated from advancing to Regionals.

3 comments:

  1. Such an interesting analysis. What would happen if all rankings stayed the same, except LSU and Oklahoma switched? How would Regionals play out? #3 LSU would be with #10 Stanford and #15 PSU....but LSU and PSU are both hosts. But PSU cannot switch with #14 Minnesota or #16 Arkansas since they are also both hosts. What is the next option?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yeah, it could get pretty complicated with the hosts depending on how they end up ranked. Right now, it looks likely that LSU and Illinois will end up in the same Regional since Illinois isn't a host.

      Delete
  2. Thank you, as always for this thoughtful post. As you said, Michigan needs 196.8 to secure #8. To pass UCLA and claim #7 they would need to outscore UCLA by 0.375 to reach. UCLA can secure their spot by scoring higher than 197.475. Markey

    ReplyDelete